Saturday, December 4, 2010

$6 Billion dollars for Groupon? No???????

Google offered to buy groupon for $6 billion. I can't imagine looking at groupon's future earnings potential and thinking it's greater than $6 billion. Sure they are the largest local online coupon retailer with 35 million users and $500 million dollars in revenue this year, but they don't really offer a competitive advantage over anyone else.

From SFgate.com:

Google Inc.'s offer to buy daily-deal site Groupon Inc. has been spurned by the Chicago startup, according to a person with knowledge of the matter.

The proposed acquisition fell through amid hesitation by Groupon's founders, said the person, who requested anonymity because the talks are private. The company will decide whether to sell shares in an initial public offering next year, the person said. Talks could resume if both sides overcome their differences.

Google had offered $6 billion, including incentives that would be paid to Groupon's managers if performance targets were met, people familiar with the matter had said this week. Groupon would have helped its new owner expand in the $133 billion U.S. local-ad market and lessen its reliance on search.

"Clearly Google wants to get into the local space and Groupon was one way," said Aaron Kessler, an analyst at ThinkEquity LLC in San Francisco who has a "buy" rating on Google and doesn't own it. "I don't think from a Google perspective that if they miss out, that there's not other ways to get into local."

Google Chief Executive Officer Eric Schmidt had been willing to pay almost twice the $3.2 billion he spent on DoubleClick Inc., his next-most expensive target, to add features and repel a threat from such rivals as Facebook Inc.
Jill Hazelbaker, a spokeswoman for Google, said the Mountain View company doesn't comment on rumor or speculation. Julie Mossler, a Groupon spokeswoman, also declined to comment.

Google, which boasts $33.4 billion in cash and marketable securities, had initially offered $3.5 billion to $4 billion to buy Groupon, a person familiar with the matter has said. The startup, which was also contemplating raising new venture funding, held out, eliciting a sweetened offer from Google, the person said.

The Chicago Tribune initially reported Groupon's rejection.

Groupon's allure has rubbed off on look-alike coupon sites. Amazon.com Inc. said Thursday it invested $175 million in LivingSocial.com, another provider of daily online deals.

Founded by Andrew Mason in 2008, Groupon has attracted 35 million users in more than 300 global markets by offering steep discounts on such items as mani-pedis, hotel stays and bike tune-ups. The company keeps part of the revenue raised by the coupons and its sales may top $500 million this year, two people familiar with the matter have said.

Google could have used Groupon to gather data on consumers as they interact around the time of a purchase, and then use that information to hone other products, including ads, said Ben Schachter, an analyst at Macquarie Securities Group.

"Locally focused e-commerce transaction data tied to one's Google account could be used to improve personalization of other Google features as well as improve ad targeting," Schachter, who rates the stock an "outperform," wrote in a research note.

However, regulators would probably have scrutinized the planned acquisition of Groupon to ensure it doesn't harm consumers.

"People are going to be concerned about what happens when you link Groupon's daily-deal services to Google search," said Dan Wall, an antitrust lawyer and partner at Latham & Watkins in San Francisco. "It is very easy to imagine that competitors to Groupon will find it very difficult to get oxygen if there's a link between Groupon and Google."

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